Tag Archives: Boston

Boston Red Sox’s Dan Shaughnessy Makes Epically Bad Prediction

30 Sep

During a rain delay in a game between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles, Boston sportswriter Dan Shaughnessy made an epically bad prediction. Full text below.

“I think the Rays are not going to win tonight. The one thing that we have eliminated tonight is that the Red Sox season is not going to end tonight. They live to play another day. The key to me is that they can hold on to this thing tonight, not have to play that game in Tampa tomorrow and go start in Detroit or Texas on Friday. That’s certainly the way to go especially with the way their pitching is torn up. All that sort of thing…the worst thing that could happen is you have to play that game in Tampa tomorrow, you gotta hold onto this 3-2 lead tonight but the Rays aren’t going to come back from 7-0 with an inning and a half to go.”

Unfortunately for Shaughnessy, in most cases, he would have been absolutely right. The odds against the Red Sox blowing it were so high as to make the events that actually occurred seemingly impossible. First, check out the highlights of the night.

Here’s the incredible series of events that caused the Red Sox collapse.

  1. On September 3, the Red Sox had a 9 game lead in the Wild Card race. They had a 99.6 percent chance of making the playoffs.
  2. They have a $161 million payroll (3rd highest in baseball)
  3. The Red Sox were up 3-2 against the Baltimore Orioles in the bottom of the 9th inning.
  4. The Rays were down 7-0 to the Yankees in the bottom of the 8th inning.
  5. The Orioles were down to their last strike, with two outs. They were facing Jonathan Papelbon, one of baseball’s most unhittable pitchers.
  6. Then, the Rays score 6 runs in the 8th inning to make the score 7-6.
  7. Orioles hitter Chris Davis doubles. Nolan Reimold then also doubles, making the score 3-3.
  8. The Rays send Dan Johnson, who is hitting just .108, to the plate with two outs. He hits a home run to tie the score at 7 and sends the games to extra innings.
  9. Orioles hitter Robert Andino gets a hit. Reimold scores and the Orioles win 4-3.
  10. This happens. Evan Longoria wins it 8-7.
To put this into perspective, let’s look at the math from Nate Silver:

The Red Sox had just a 0.3 percent chance of failing to make the playoffs on Sept. 3.

The Rays had just a 0.3 percent chance of coming back after trailing 7-0 with two innings to play.

The Red Sox had only about a 2 percent chance of losing their game against Baltimore, when the Orioles were down to their last strike.

The Rays had about a 2 percent chance of winning in the bottom of the 9th, with Johnson also down to his last strike.

The odds of all of this happening together? 1 in 278 million. 

Sarah Palin’s Gotcha Question About Paul Revere?

8 Jun

By now, most of America has heard Sarah Palin’s quip about Paul Revere’s ride. Many more have seen Stephen Colbert attempt to renact the ride as Palin described it. The former half-term governor of Alaska defended herself on Fox News Sunday by saying her version of history was correct and “I know my American history.”

She also accused the “lamestream media” of asking another “shout-out, gotcha-type of question” to her. Few outlets have reported what that question was. Here it is. Pretty hard hitting. As she was in a bakery in the north end of Boston, a reporter asked:

“What have you seen so far today and what are you going to take away from your visit?”

That’s almost as bad as “what newspapers do you read?” Shameful, lamestream media people.

Plane Crashes and Accidents Dominate the News

5 Apr

Now, I recognize that aviation accidents occur far more often then we’d like to admit. Often times, incidents involving small planes do not even make the national news. However, the last two days have yielded no fewer than 5 stories involving plane crashes or accidents. What is going on? Some of these stories you might have heard; others you probably haven’t.

1) Southwest Flight 812: This past weekend, passengers got quite a scare when a flight departing Phoenix for Sacramento developed a five-foot hole in the fuselage during the flight. No one was seriously injured as the flight landed in Yuma, Arizona, but oxygen masks were deployed and passengers described the sound as similar to a “gunshot” at 36,000 feet. Southwest Airlines called the problem a “new and unknown issue” and investigators confirmed that airplanes were not inspected for fatigue in the area where the hole developed because they believed no cracks in the skin could form there. They were obviously quite wrong. Cracks were found in three additional planes and 80 other US planes were grounded for inspection. One passenger snagged quite a few images of the incident (one is below):

Southwest 8122) Air France 447: More than two years after it plunged into the Atlantic Ocean during a routine flight from Rio De Janeiro to Paris, investigators have located a large piece of wreckage of the plane underwater. The discovery included human remains, which France now plans to retrive. Not much is known about what happened to the plane. Investigators surmised that poor weather could have brought it down, but now hope to recover the flight’s data recorders and get some answers.

Air France 447

3) American Airlines 883: The flight left Boston for St. Thomas, but was forced to land at New York’s JFK Airport after some sort of pressurization problem in the cabin. Oh, and the plane went from 36,000 feet to 9,000 feet in a little over a minute. That’s really fast to drop 27,000 feet. No injuries were reported and the passengers later boarded another plane, which took them to their destination.

4) Small Plane on Queens Beach: A 24-year-old pilot landed a small plane, with three people aboard, without permission on a Queens beach after one of his passengers allegedly became violently ill. The plane landed at Rockaway Beach near Beach 56th Street. All three passengers were uninjured in the crash. Update: Actually the pilot, Jason Maloney, sounds like a real jerk.

5) UN Plane Crash: A plane carrying 33 people crashed while landing in the capital of the Democratic Republic of the Congo during heavy weather. Thirty-two of the people died in the incident. Early reports suggest that the pilot missed the runway as heavy rain fell around the airport in Kinshasa. All but five of the passengers worked with the United Nations, and most of the UN staff worked on peacekeeping operations in the DRC. The plane had been coming from the north-eastern city of Kisangani. Plane crashes are notoriously common in the DRC, where maintenance and safety inspections do not commonly occur.

Plane Crashes